November’s job report showed solid growth, as the Department of Labor reported that 211,000 jobs were created, leaving the unemployment rate unchanged at 5.0%.
The report also adjusted employment for September and October. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for September was revised from +137,000 to +145,000, and the change from October was revised from +271,000 to +298,000. With these revisions, employment gains in September and October combined were 35,000 more than previously reported. Over the past 3 months, job gains have averaged 218,000 per month.
Now the unanswered question, will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates for the first time since 2006?
Yahoo News reported that the closely watched employment report came a day after Fed Chair Janet Yellen struck an upbeat note on the economy when she testified before lawmakers, describing how it had largely met the criteria the U.S. central bank has set for the Fed’s first rate hike since June 2006.
Yellen said the economy needs to create just under 100,000 jobs a month to keep up with growth in the working age population.
“We cleared the last hurdle for a rate increase. The Fed was looking for some positive movement on wages, and we got a little bit of that. There is absolutely nothing in this report that will keep the Fed from raising rates,” said Chris Gaffney, president at EverBank World Markets in St. Louis.
We will have to see what the Federal Reserve does when it meets on December 16th.
As the focus of this report has been, will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates, there are other ominous signs, the first being the labor participation rate increased by only a tenth of a point. Currently, there are over 94 million out of the labor force a slight improvement from last month, but still at thirty eight year low.
Other aspects of the November report:
— Job gains occurred in construction, professional and technical services, and health care. Mining and information lost jobs, BLS said. Employment in other major industries, including manufacturing, wholesale trade, transportation and warehousing, financial activities, and government, changed little over the month.
— Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (4.7 percent), adult women (4.6 percent), teenagers (15.7 percent), whites (4.3 percent), blacks (9.4 percent), Asians (3.9 percent), and Hispanics (6.4 percent) showed little or no change in November.
— The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) was little changed at 2.1 million in November and has shown little movement since June. In November, these individuals accounted for 25.7 percent of the unemployed.
— The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) increased by 319,000 to 6.1 million in November, following declines in September and October. These individuals, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job. Over the past 12 months, the number of persons employed part time for economic reasons is down by 765,000.
— In November, 1.7 million persons were marginally attached to the labor force, down by 392,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey.
— In November, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 4 cents to $25.25, following a 9-cent gain in October. Over the year, average hourly earnings have risen by 2.3 percent. In November, average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees, at $21.19, changed little.
— The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for September was revised from +137,000 to +145,000, and the change from October was revised from +271,000 to +298,000. With these revisions, employment gains in September and October combined were 35,000 more than previously reported. Over the past 3 months, job gains have averaged 218,000 per month.
The remaining unanswered questions, what will the economic impact of sharp increase in health care have on the economy? The rest of the world especially the economies in Europe and China are contracting how this impacts U.S. exports, and with it job creation? The final question, how will Washington and the presidential election impact the economy?
A lot of unanswered questions!
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