By John Ubaldi, “Ubaldi Reports”
President Biden has now made the decision that he will remove all U.S. combat forces from Afghanistan by September 11th, as this is the symbolic date which precipitated the beginning of America’s longest war.
Throughout the 2020 presidential campaign, little attention was paid to the ongoing conflict in Afghanistan, now that Biden is the president he has made the decision to remove U.S. combat forces from Afghanistan but is he prepared for the fallout that almost will certainly follow.
The point of inflection is both Republican and Democratic administrations to include America’s national security community failed in Afghanistan. Far too often America’s national security establishment only looked at the tactical situation in defeating Al-Qaeda the perpetrator of the terror attack on September 11th and their allies the Taliban.
Once U.S. forces entered Afghanistan, America’s national security community failed to read the history of the region by replicating past invaders beginning with the Persians, to Alexander, the British, the Russian’s and now the American’s all tried instilling an alien form of government into a tribal system.
With the entry of America into this unhospitable land, the United States tried to force a western system of government into Afghanistan, with its capital being the center of governance. Unfortunately, this was an impossible feat as the Afghan people have never in their history had a centralized government based in Kabul.
It’s interesting that a little over ten years ago I wrote a research paper titled, “Another Way in Afghanistan: Overcoming the Current flawed Strategy.”
Biden assumed the presidency by repeatedly stating he was going to recalibrate U.S. national security from the failed policies of the past, unfortunately he is repeating the failed strategy of both Republican and Democratic administrations as it relates to the Afghan region.
Since 2001, Biden has been inconsistent on U.S. strategy toward Afghanistan, as he voted in support of the Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMFF) in 2001 that originally led U.S. forces into the country; this controversial act has given both Democratic and Republican administration the license to use military forces in other countries without congressional authorization.
During the first year of the Obama administration Biden was against sending additional forces to Afghanistan, and even ridiculed advice given to President Obama that his military commander’s, who he felt were trying to box the president in.
Biden was against the raid that ultimately killed terror leader Osama bin Laden.
As of right now Biden is now the fourth American president to deal with Afghanistan, the unanswered question is what strategy does the president envision for the country? The last time America left Afghanistan was after the withdrawal of Russian forces in 1989, then for the next decade the country slide into a civil war with the Taliban emerging victorious. What will prevent this from happening, and if it does what is America’s response?
Does everyone remember when the U.S. pulled out of Iraq in 2011; the country became a sanctuary for al-Qaeda and Islamic State, which eventually led to the return of American combat troops to defeat ISIS.
President Biden inherited a bad situation from both Republican and Democratic administrations and with it the complete failure of the nation’s military and national security community to look beyond the tactical approach while never contemplating a strategic strategy for the region.
Gen. Frank McKenzie, head of U.S. Central Command, who is responsible for all combat operations in the Middle East recently mentioned that the Taliban have not fully lived up to the commitments made in the February 2020 agreement.
As President Biden contemplates U.S. strategy with regard to Afghanistan what will counter-terrorism look like from “over the horizon” if America withdraws, and Afghan security collapses?
Does the president and other national security experts finally understand that the Taliban is part of the terror ecosystem of South Asia not independent from it?
For the past twenty years America has dealt with Pakistan, and during this period our national security and military communities never seemed to understand that Islamabad skillfully perused a duplicitous strategy by supporting both the U.S. and the Taliban and other terror organizations. How does the president plan on changing this behavior now that we are leaving?
Now that the U.S. is withdrawing from Afghanistan, our coalition partners will now also leave, and with this pullout leave Afghanistan to the fate of the Taliban. This will inevitably revert the country back to pre-2001 and anyone who worked with the Americans lives will be in jeopardy.
This will now incentive terror organizations who will use this as a propaganda tool as they will believe they ultimately and they alone defeated the greatest superpower. One only has to remember their thinking is far different than ours!
As of now our adversaries and allies alike know that America has lost in Afghanistan and this will jeopardize American national security; the U.S. had better be prepared for what comes next!